Volatile price period runs over 5 hours on 2 July 2025 in SA
If we had been in the previous financial year, the old CPT of $1,573,700 would have been tripped.
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Evening spot prices less volatile than anticipated in SA on July 2, 2025
Spot price volatility occurs in SA on 2 July 2025, yet not to the level that risks exceeding the cumulative price threshold.
More than 40,000 customers without power in NSW on Wednesday 2nd July 2025 after wild weather overnight
Wild storms over night have impacted parts of the Ausgrid, Endeavour and Essential Energy distribution networks in NSW.
Keep an eye on the SA Cumulative Price this evening on Wednesday 2nd July 2025
After an extended burst of high prices last night, and a short burst this morning, the cumulative price in SA has moved closer to CPT territory.
NSW records highest winter demand in fifteen years, whilst high prices eventuate in SA on Tuesday evening 1st July 2025
Cold winter conditions in NSW have pushed market demand in the region above 13GW this evening. Meanwhile, high prices have stuck around in SA.
Directions Paper adjusts approach to loop IRSR
Under the new direction proposed, netting off would be applied to allocate IRSR. The proposal is open for feedback until 10 July 2025.
VNI West given an official two year delay, with expected completion date pushed back to late 2030
Transmission Company Victoria (TCV) yesterday announced a two-year delay to the project delivery timeline for the VNI West project.
Market Price Cap increases to $20,300/MWh from today, 1st July 2025
With the start of the new financial year, today marks the first step in the AEMC’s staged reform of the Market Price Cap, with it rising to $20,300/MWh — the first of three scheduled...
Triple C conditions (cold, calm and cloudy) across the NEM last Thursday evening 26th June 2025
Carl Daley examines the underlying conditions and outcomes that occurred last Thursday evening, the 26th of June.
East coast low brings challenging conditions for start of July in 2025
The weather forecasts are alerting to the formation of an East Coast Low this week. The low is expected to sit just off the eastern cost of Australia, adjacent New South Wales.
Guest Authored Posts
Triple C conditions (cold, calm and cloudy) across the NEM last Thursday evening 26th June 2025
Carl Daley examines the underlying conditions and outcomes that occurred last Thursday evening, the 26th of June.
We need more research on storage trading
In this guest post, Greg Williams calls for more research into how storage bidding—particularly auto-rebidding—is reshaping price formation and competition as flexible assets take centre stage in the NEM.
Detailed Analysis
ENTSO-E is also investigating the 28 April 2025 blackout on the Iberian Peninsula
For those interested in ‘what happened, why and what should be done about it’ with respect to the 28th April 2025 blackout on the Iberian Peninsula, ENTSO-E is also investigating.
Red Electrica report on the “Blackout in Spanish Peninsula Electrical System on 28th of April 2025”
On Wednesday 18th June 2025 Red Eléctrica (REE) published on the “Blackout in Spanish Peninsula Electrical System on 28th of April 2025” .
The Non-Confidential Report (182 pages) into the Iberian blackout
Earlier today we wrote about the ‘News Release on the blackout on the Iberian Peninsula...’. Here's the report (which we could not find at the time).
North-south switcheroo as solar conditions swing opposite directions over Autumn 2025
Rainfall and cloud cover has split Australia this autumn, delivering a mixed bag of solar irradiance conditions for solar farms across the NEM.
Examples of self-forecasting behaviours – part 5 – afternoon underestimations
A sequence of afternoon intervals stand out because the forecast appeared to be biased low – self-forecasts suddenly dropped roughly 30-40 percentage points and then increased a short time later.
Examples of self-forecasting behaviours – part 4 – avoiding SDC periods
Theoretically, if a self-forecasting system never offers forecasts for more than 60% of intervals it may perpetually skip the performance assessment and the system could continue for use unsuppressed.
Examples of self-forecasting behaviours – part 3 – lunar megawatts
In another style of biasing a self-forecast, "lunar megawatts" represent an expectation of solar farm generation at night when it really should be zero.
Examples of self-forecasting behaviours – part 2 – relative accuracy
The forecast differences would contribute to improved lower RMSE and MAE scores, relative to AWEFS_ASEFS, in the weekly performance assessment.